HN 提问：AI 编写的软件都去哪儿了？
3 分•作者: wNjdbfm•5 天前
和许多人一样，我正在努力理解人工智能的现实与炒作周期之间的区别。我既有使用它的亲身经历，也曾在一家大型科技公司亲眼目睹了在“多做人工智能”的指令下，它被推行开来。即使在这里的讨论中，我们也看到了一个完整的频谱：一些工程师说他们不再写代码，而是管理代理；另一些工程师则认为它因为太愚蠢而基本无用。我一直在寻找市场中我们都能看到的线索（我本想用“信号”这个词，但我不能，因为我不想让你们都认为这是 Claude 写的），这样我们就无需接受“相信我，人工智能已经解决了编程问题”的说法。
我的问题是：
所有的人工智能编写的软件在哪里？
如果编程几乎是一个已解决的问题，如果人工智能让一切都变得如此容易，为什么我们没有看到市场上充斥着我们日常使用并厌恶的软件的廉价替代品？
微软 Office、Adobe 的任何产品、Jira
你可以自己列举。我遇到的每一个设计师都讨厌 Adobe 及其订阅模式。我的公司每年在 Office 365 上花费巨额资金，但每个人都讨厌它。为什么没有替代品出现？
我们是否应该期待这是人工智能“民主化”承诺的一部分？
作为补充：我选择 Office 和 Adobe 只是因为它们是我们经常在科技界抱怨的两个东西，我知道它们现在是平台/生态系统，也许最好说 Word 和 Photoshop 等等，但你可以替换成任何你想要的商业软件。如果人工智能编程可以接管互联网应用领域，难道它不能接管软件应用领域吗？
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Like a lot of folks, I'm trying to understand the AI reality vs. the hype cycle. I have my own experiences both using it and seeing it rolled out with a “do more AI” mandate at a huge tech company. Even looking here at discussions we have the full spectrum from engineers who say they don’t code anymore, they just manage agents, to engineers who say they find it basically useless because of how stupid it is. I’ve been looking for clues (I wanted to use the word “signals" there but I can’t because I don’t want you all to think Claude wrote this) in the market that we can all see, so we don’t have to accept “trust me bro, AI solved coding”.<p>Here’s my question:<p>Where is all of the AI coded software?<p>If coding is a nearly solved problem, if AI is making it so easy to make anything, why aren't we seeing the market flood with cheap alternatives to software that we all use daily and hate?<p>Microsoft office, anything from Adobe, Jira<p>Make your own list. Every designer I’ve ever met hates Adobe and their subscription model. My company spends a hojillion dollars a year on office365 and everyone hates it. Why aren’t we seeing alternatives popping up?<p>Should we be expecting this as a part of the whole “democratization” promise of AI?<p>As an addendum: I picked office and adobe just because they are two things we always whine about in tech, I realize they are platforms/ecosystems now, maybe it would be better to say Word and Photoshop, etc. but substitute in any commercial software you want. If AI coding can take over the internet application space can’t it also take over the software application space?