HN 读者来信:求职者发帖量是招聘方发帖量的两倍
2 分•作者: santiagobasulto•3 个月前
最近我注意到,“谁想被雇佣”的帖子比“谁在招聘”的帖子获得了更多的评论。
我通过 HN API 拉取了数据,并证实了这种“反转”。“谁想被雇佣”的帖子获得的评论数是“谁在招聘”帖子的两倍(而且似乎还在加速增长)。作为参考,2022 年这个比例是 0.25。
我年纪大了,经历过软件开发人员需求远超供给的时代,但也许我们正在看到这种情况的反转?
我还不打算下结论,可能有很多原因。我初步的猜测与人工智能有关。我们可能正进入一场普遍的经济衰退,因为人工智能泡沫正在破裂,或者由于人工智能导致就业市场正在发生变化。
再说一遍,我没有答案,但这绝对是一个值得讨论的有趣话题!
这是源代码(包括数据):https://github.com/santiagobasulto/hn-who-is-hiring-analysis
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Lately I've noticed that "Who wants to be hired" posts are getting more comments than the "Who's hiring" ones.<p>I pulled the data using HN API and confirmed this "reversal". "Who wants to be hired" posts are getting 2x more comments than "Who's hiring" posts (and seems to be accelerating). For reference, in 2022 it used to be 0.25.<p>I'm old, I'm from the times where demand for software devs greatly outpaced supply, but maybe we're seeing a reversal of it?<p>I don't want to draw any conclusions yet, there could be many things going on. My initial thoughts would be AI-related. We're either entering a general recession because the AI bubble is bursting, or the job market is changing due to AI.<p>Again, I don't have any answers, but it's something definitively interesting to discuss!<p>Here's the source code (including data): https://github.com/santiagobasulto/hn-who-is-hiring-analysis