HN 提问:你为什么不会被人工智能取代?
5 分•作者: atleastoptimal•21 天前
人工智能模型正在飞速进步。公众尚未见识到 Anthropic 的 Mythos 模型的能力,该模型至今已有 4 个月。
我见过许多关于为什么某些工作岗位将永远需要“人工干预”或某些技能无法被大型语言模型取代的论点,但我对此持怀疑态度。似乎如果这些模型通用智能持续提升,那么所有工作都只是输入正确上下文、设计代理协作的正确结构、拥有正确的验证循环等问题,这些都很难实现,但并非不可能。
如果模型改进的速度在未来 3 年内保持不变(请记住,3 年前最好的模型是 GPT-4),您真的相信您现在所做的工作不会被一个由大型语言模型驱动的代理系统更好地完成吗?
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AI models are rapidly getting better. The general public still hasn't seen the capabilities of Anthropic's Mythos model, which is already 4 months old at this point.<p>I've seen many arguments about why certain jobs will always need a "human in the loop", or that certain skills aren't replaceable by LLM's, but I am skeptical of this notion. It seems that if the general intelligence of these models continues to increase, then every job is just a matter of feeding in the right context, designing the right structures for agents to collaborate, having the right verification loops, etc, all of which are difficult to create, but not impossible.<p>If the improvements in models continue at the pace they have over the next 3 years (reminder, 3 years ago the best model was GPT-4), do you really believe that what you do now will not be done better by a system of LLM-driven agentic harnesses?