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所以大家总是谈论这样的情景：比如一位 CEO 裁掉 5 名开发者中的 3 名，因为剩下的 2 名开发者可以使用 AI 完成相同的工作量。当这种情况发生时，人们会非常生气，因为这显然是公司的贪婪。你裁员只是为了通过不支付额外开发者的薪水来赚取更多利润，而不是因为你负担不起他们。但我一直在思考一个更糟糕、更有可能成为我们未来方向的角度。最近，我读到一些公司每月的人工智能账单高达数百万美元。一些小型公司如果不能削减成本，真的可能面临破产。裁掉 3 名开发者只是为了维持运营，这就不再像是“贪婪”，而更像是生存，基本上是为了避免倒闭。你可以提出一个道德论点：“干脆停止支付 AI 的费用，保留人类员工”，但如今很少有人愿意在一家不提供顶级 AI 工具的技术公司工作，所以你不得不支付 AI 的费用…… 所以，这设定了一个先例：裁员将不再被定性为“AI 正在抢走你的工作”，而是会被定性为“我们真的负担不起技术和人员，所以人员必须离开”。这为高管们提供了一个完美的挡箭牌，可以避免负面公关。他们只需出示一份巨额的 OpenAI 或 Anthropic 发票，然后说：“看，要么裁员，要么我们破产然后裁掉所有人。” 这使得人类成为唯一可以被削减的对象。（而不是削减 AI 的使用）我们被困在一个奇怪的循环中：你需要 AI 来保持竞争力，AI 成本高昂，所以你不得不解雇那些原本需要 AI 的员工，或者那些可能根本不会接受这份工作的人。

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So everyone always talks about the scenario where for example a CEO fires 3 out of 5 devs because the remaining 2 can just use AI to do the same amount of work. When that happens, people get pissed because it’s obvious corporate greed. You’re firing people just to make more profit by not having to pay those extra devs, not because you can't afford them.But I’ve been thinking about a different angle that’s way more messed up and likely where we are heading soon.Just recently, I've read about companies that had monthly AI bills get into millions of dollars. Some smaller companies could really be facing bankruptcy if they don't cut costs. Firing 3 devs just to keep the lights on then stops looking like "greed" and looks like survival, basically avoiding going out of business.You could make a moral argument "just stop paying for the AI and keep the human workers," but not many will want to work at a tech company today that doesn’t provide top tier AI tooling, so you kind of have to pay for AI...So here’s the precedent this sets: Layoffs won't be framed as "AI is stealing your job" anymore instead they’re going to be framed as "we literally cannot afford both the tech and the people, so the people have to go."It gives executives the perfect shield against bad PR. They can just point at a massive OpenAI or Anthropic invoice and say "look, it was either lay people off or we go bankrupt and then lay off everyone." It turns humans into the only thing that can actually be cut. (instead of cutting AI usage)We're trapped in this weird loop where you need the AI to stay competitive, the AI costs a fortune, so you have to fire the humans who needed the AI in the first place or likely won't even take the job.

人工智能成本将成为大规模裁员的新借口。