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我在这里和其他地方读到很多程序员说，LLM（大型语言模型）不会改变什么，有些人说LLM只会让他们更有效率，甚至有人说不使用LLM会让你变成某种“遗物”。毋庸置疑的是，LLM已经改变了我们的行业。与五年前相比，编程对更多人来说更容易上手。一个从未写过代码的人，现在就可以坐在Claude面前，生成一个可以立即使用的完整应用程序。假设软件开发变成一种商品，这份工作变得像快餐店工作一样，实际上任何想做的大人都可以胜任，那么你的下一步是什么？ Anthropic和OpenAI正在努力将你赚的工资以API费用的形式转移到他们自己手中，所以让我们假设在2030年，程序员的平均年薪与麦当劳工人的差不多，因为公司可以选择支付Anthropic或OpenAI的API访问费用作为替代方案。你的选择是什么？

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A lot of programmers I read here and elsewhere say LLM isn't going to change much, some say LLM is just going to make them more productive, and some even say not using LLM makes you some sort of relic. What is not debated is that LLM has changed our industry. Programming is a lot more accessible to a lot more people than five years ago. Someone who has never coded anything could sit in front of Claude and produce an entire app ready to be used today.<p>Assuming software development becomes a commodity and the job becomes something like a fast food job where practically any adult who wants it can do it, what is your next move?<p>Anthropic and OpenAI are working hard to redirect the salary you earn to themselves in the form of API costs, so let's assume that in the year 2030, the average yearly wage for a programmer is around the same as a McDonald's worker, because companies have the option of paying Anthropic or OpenAI for API access as an alternative. What is your move?

Ask HN: 软件开发作为一种职业的终结？