科技行业简要的世代概览
1 分•作者: 5color•4 个月前
现代以消费者为中心的技术,也就是我们日常生活中使用的成品,是由科技行业(又称科技巨头、科技公司、互联网,你想怎么称呼都行)定义的。广义上讲,这个行业是过去50年来的主要创新驱动力:创造财富、提高生活水平、提高人类生产力。截至2026年,我认为这个行业对社会的影响已经经历了两个明显的世代。我将列出各种科技公司,并尝试将它们进行世代分类。之后,我将阐述我对即将到来的第三代的看法。最后,我将对后续世代发表声明,并做一个结束语。
IBM - 开发了用于工业和个人用途的计算机,这是一家第一代科技公司。
微软 - 开发了数十亿人使用的操作系统和基本软件,这也是一家第一代科技公司。
苹果 - 开发了新颖的科技产品以及为其提供动力的软件,这是一家半步世代(1.5代)科技公司,因为它在硬件和软件创新方面都有明确的意图。
谷歌 - 开发了当代使用的基础,这是第二代:为数百万人设计和迭代的现代软件,形成了庞大的社交和信息网络。
以下我都会认为是第二代:维基百科、脸书、亚马逊、eBay、YouTube、奈飞。
Reddit - 开发了一个供用户提交内容并根据用户反馈和用户创建的社区来策划内容的网站——这是一家典型的半步世代(2.5代)公司,因为它极大地改变了用户和软件之间的互动方式。
Valve - 开发了一个游戏生态系统,这家公司与第二代不同,因为它为其他人销售自己的软件创造了一个自给自足的市场。
Spotify - 开发了音频流媒体的实际标准,这家公司是2.5代,而不是像YouTube或奈飞那样的2代,因为它为已有的内容创建了一个经济模型,并以近乎零成本的方式提供了对这些内容的访问,从而有效地利用了互联网的关键目的之一,即传递信息。
OpenAI - 向世界推出了现代人工智能聊天机器人;大多数人会认为这是一家第三代科技公司,我也会将其视为3代,但我将解释我认为什么才能真正成就一家第三代科技公司。目前,我认为OpenAI是一家半步世代公司,因为它显然与第二代不同,但还不足以成为第三代。
定义第三代科技公司的将是一个真正的巨头,渗透到社会的各个方面,包括政府和政治。由于它将彻底改变社交网络,它将带来比当前科技巨头更大的经济影响。这些道路已经存在,但这家公司将铺设高速公路。它将做到其他公司无法做到的——明确地确立对其的访问权,使其与访问水或电等公用事业一样重要。它的代号是萤火虫,照亮我们现代世界黑暗的光芒。
这就是我认为第三代的样子。这就是为什么我不能说当前的人工智能公司是第三代。之后还会有更多的世代吗?谁知道今天科幻小说中的内容明天会变成现实,前提是文明能够延续下去……
查看原文
Modern consumer-focused technology, the finished products that we use in our day-to-day lives, is defined by the tech industry(AKA Big Tech, tech companies, the Internet, whatever you want to call it). Broadly speaking, this is the industry that has been the main driver of innovation in the past 50 years: producing wealth, increasing the standard of living, and improving human productivity. As of 2026, I can see this industry as having 2 clear generations of societal impact. I will list various tech companies and attempt to categorize them in generations. After that, I give my thoughts on the forthcoming third generation. Lastly, I will make a statement about subsequent generations as well as a closing remark.<p>IBM - developed computers for industrial and personal use, this is a first generation tech company.
Microsoft - developed the operating system and basic software used by billions, this is also a first generation tech company.
Apple - developed novel tech products as well as software to power them, this is a half-step generation(1.5) tech company because of their clear intentions on innovating in both hardware and software.
Google - developed the basis of contemporary usage, this is the second generation: modern software designed and iterated for millions, forming massive social and information networks.
The following I would all consider to be second generation: Wikipedia, Facebook, Amazon, eBay, YouTube, Netflix.
Reddit - developed a site for user submission and curated the content through user feedback as well as user-created communities- this is the quintessential half-step generation(2.5) for considerably changing the dynamics between the user and the software.
Valve - developed an ecosystem for gaming, this company is different from the second generation because it created a self-contained market for others to sell their own software.
Spotify - developed the de-facto standard for audio streaming, this company is gen 2.5 as opposed to gen 2 like YouTube or Netflix because it created an economic model for established content AND provided access to that content at near-zero cost, thereby utilizing one of the key purposes of the internet, to deliver information, effectively.
OpenAI - introduced the modern AI chatbot to the world; most would think to classify this as a third generation tech company, and I would consider it gen 3, however, I will explain what I think would truly make a tech company gen 3. For now, I think OpenAI is a half-step generation company because it is clearly a different beast from the second generation, but not different enough to be third generation.<p>The defining third generation tech company would truly be a titan, permeating into all aspects of society including government and politics. It would carry economic implications even greater than the current tech giants because of how it will revolutionize social networking. These roads already exist, but this company will pave the highways. It will do what the others couldn't- unequivocally establish access to it to be as important as accessing a utility such as water or electricity. Its codename is Firefly, a light in the darkness of our modern world.<p>This is what I think gen 3 will look like. That is why I cannot say that the current AI companies are gen 3. Will there be anymore generations afterward? Who knows what in the realm of science fiction today could be reality tomorrow, that is if civilization makes it that far...