OpenAI 可能会站在历史正确的一边。
4 分•作者: shoman3003•6 个月前
注：我目前在中东北非地区，与军方没有任何关系。
当我第一次读到Dario的声明时，我对军方如此轻视人工智能安全（更不用说隐私）感到震惊。看到Anthropic抵制军方，我为自己是Claude的用户而感到自豪，以至于我立刻删除了GPT。看到你最喜欢的产品与你的价值观同步，感觉真好。
但今天，在仔细思考之后，我意识到了一些事情。如果一个政府允许一家人工智能公司来主导条款，那么它就为未来的人工智能公司抵制政府监管开创了先例。这在2020年代可能不是什么大问题，但在2030年代，根据所有估计，许多人工智能公司将强大到足以抵制整个政府机构。也许不是美国或中国，但它们肯定会强大到不容易受到影响。
那些独立的公司最终会发展到如此庞大，以至于任何政府都无法驯服它们。我知道现在一家市值不到一万亿美元的普通公司抵抗一个每年花费7万亿美元的政府似乎是不可能的。但如果放眼长远，下一代人工智能公司的估值很可能会达到10万亿美元。如果你看看一个刚学会说话、突然开始谈论量子力学的两岁孩子，你可以肯定他长大后会成为一个强大的力量。
我知道软货币权力与硬军事权力有很大不同，但如果满足以下条件，足够多的第一类代币很容易转化为第二类：
1. 你有一个雄心勃勃的首席执行官。
2. 公司的生存受到某种威胁。
我在这里谈论的不是通用人工智能，而是那些为了生存不择手段的、老牌的私募股权公司。它们由对股东比对任何人和任何事物都更忠诚的西装革履的人统治。
归根结底，公司由独裁者统治（它们必须如此），而政府则不是（至少在西方国家不是）。也许，也许我们不应该相信私募股权公司除了追求利润之外还会寻求任何东西。政府是具有操纵性和血腥的，但至少我们可以投票。
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note: I am in MENA, am not with the military in any way.<p>when i first read the statement by Dario, i was shocked by the fact the military was so dismissive about Ai safety (not to mention privacy). Seeing anthropic resist the military, I felt so proud of being a claude user to the point I deleted gpt right away. it's nice to see your fav products sync with your values.<p>but today, after thinking more about it, i realized something. for a government to allow one Ai company to dictate terms, it opens up a precedent for Ai companies in the future to resist governmental oversight. that might not be a big deal in 2020s, but in 2030s by all estimations many Ai companies will be big enough to resist entire governmental structures. Maybe not the US or China, but they will definitely be big enough not to be easily influenced.<p>those independent companies will eventually grow so large, no government can hope to tame them. i know that right now it seems impossible for a mere ccorp valued at less than a trillion to resist a government that spends 7 trillion each year. but zooming out, it feels likely that the next generation of Ai companies will be easily valued at 10T. if you look at a 2-year-old which just learned how to talk and suddenly he starts talking quantum, you can bet your a* he will grow up to be a powerhouse.<p>i know soft monetary power is very different than hard military power, but enough tokens of the first type can easily be converted into the second type if:
1. you have a sufficiently ambitious CEO.
2. the survival of the company is threatened in some way.
I am not talking about AGI here, but good old private equity that does whatever it needs to survive. ruled by suits that have more loyalty to shareholders than anyone or anything else.<p>at the end of the day, corporations are ruled by dictators (they have to be), governments are not (not in the West at least). maybe just maybe we should NOT trust private equity to seek anything but profits. governments are manipulative and bloody, but at least we can vote.