政府调查的回复率显著下降
1 分•作者: insane_dreamer•8 个月前
在某个新闻简报[1]上看到了这张图表[0]，我感到非常惊讶：美国的调查回复率低于70%，而2013年时超过90%。我认为这是“技术进步”以及如今沟通便利性带来的一个有趣且负面的副作用。我们被各种信息淹没，只想屏蔽一切。更不用说无休止的垃圾电话（我从不接听不在我联系人列表里的号码，所以调查员根本联系不上我。）
这是一个严重的问题，因为如果调查回复率低，就会增加数据的误差范围，也意味着政府听取民众意见的机会变少了。
有一篇论文[2]探讨了（部分）造成这种情况的原因。
根据这个[3]，英国也面临着同样的问题。
人工智能只会让情况变得更糟，因为它可以轻松地在无人干预的情况下拨打垃圾电话。
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Saw this graph[0] in a newsletter[1] and was quite surprised: Survey response rates in the US are below 70% vs over 90% in 2013. I think it's an interesting and negative side-effect of "technological progress" and the ease of communication these days. We're inundated and just want to shut everything off. Not to mention the endless spam calls (I don't answer any number not in my contacts, so a surveyor wouldn't be able to reach me.)<p>It's a significant problem because if survey responses are low that increases the error margin of the data, and it also means that the gov is just not hearing from its citizens as much.<p>There's a paper[2] on (some of) the reasons for this.<p>According to this[3], the UK has the same problem.<p>AI is only going to make this worse with the ease at which spam calls can be made without a human in the loop.<p>[0] https://www.bls.gov/cps/methods/response_rates.htm<p>[1] https://kyla.substack.com/p/chicago-fed-president-austan-goolsbee<p>[2] https://academic.oup.com/jssam/article-abstract/12/5/1138/7658685?redirectedFrom=fulltext<p>[3] https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps/about/modernization.html