Ask HN:关于文明经济增长停滞的理论
2 分•作者: davidajackson•9 个月前
我一直以来都有一个理论,即经济增长,或者说以复合年增长率(CAGR)衡量的经济,会随着人口增长而降至0%,或者与人口增长呈线性关系。在我看来,这与生活方式改善的机会趋近于0相符(我们已经有了互联网,我们已经有了食物、住所等),因此没有新的市场需要覆盖,也没有新的业务需要发明?
这个话题在任何地方被讨论或辩论过吗?有谁持有同样的理论并做过任何数学预测吗?
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I have had a theory for a while that economic growth or the economy in terms of CAGR will go to 0% or becomes linear with population as the population grows. This in my mind aligns with the opportunities for lifestyle improvements going to 0 (we already have the internet, we already have food, shelter etc.) so this is no new market to cover/no new businesses to invent?<p>Has this topic been discussed or debated anywhere? Has anyone with this same theory done any mathematical projections?