Ask HN：我们是否应该停止担忧 AI 会取代开发人员的工作？
2 分•作者: _pdp_•9 个月前
更长的标题：我们是否应该停止担心 AI 会取代开发人员的工作，转而开始思考我们将如何招聘更多开发人员？
大家好，
我不可能唯一注意到 AI 编码助手让我们工作更多，而不是更少的人。
这里有一个让我困扰的计算。如果一个开发人员过去每天编写 100 行代码（举例说明），但现在 AI 编写了 90% 的代码，那么你可能会认为工作量会下降到 10 行，对吧？我发现的是，范围已经扩大了。开发人员现在每天能够编写 1000 行代码，虽然你可能会说 AI 编写了其中的 90%，但我们仍然编写了 100 行的难点。
以前看起来太昂贵的每个功能突然变得可行。每个原型都变成了生产系统。瓶颈从打字转移到思考，但思考的负荷增加了 10 倍。我们还单枪匹马地增加了那 10% 部分的需求，而这部分不像机器那样容易扩展。
只有我注意到了吗？
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Longer title: Should we stop worrying that AI will replace developer jobs and instead start thinking how we are going to hire more developers?<p>Hi folks,<p>I can't be the only one noticing that AI coding agents are making us work more, not less.<p>Here's the math that's been bugging me. If a developer used to write 100 lines of code per day (illustrative) but now AI writes 90% of the code, so you'd think that the load will go down to 10 lines, right? What I find is that the scope has exploded. Developers are now able to crank 1000 lines per day total and while you may say that AI writes 90% of them we are still writing 100 lines of the hard stuff.<p>Every feature that seemed too expensive before is suddenly doable. Every prototype becomes production system. The bottleneck shifted from typing to thinking, but the thinking load just got 10x bigger. We have also single-handedly increased the demand of that 10% chunk which is not as easy to scale as machines.
Am I the only one noticing this?